Beating the Financial Futures Market: Combining Small Biases by Art Collins PDF

By Art Collins

ISBN-10: 0470038659

ISBN-13: 9780470038659

Beating the monetary Futures marketplace will give you a simple, traditionally confirmed application to chop in the course of the noise, make sure what bits of data are worthy, and combine these bits into an total buying and selling software designed to leap on profitable buying and selling possibilities as they ensue. it is going to assist you enhance either your percent of successful trades and the base line profitability of these profitable trades.

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Extra info for Beating the Financial Futures Market: Combining Small Biases into Powerful Money Making Strategies

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To do a true apples-to-apples evaluation, we must be mindful of the fact that we’d be trading one contract on each of the individual components (three total) versus only one contract on the combined line four system. That implies that we’d be taking roughly a third of the risk on the combined system relative to the individual ones, all else being approximately equal. Line four nets out profit roughly in the ballpark of the top three lines combined, and yet we arrived there with one third the exposure of the top three added together.

The total payoffs will always be less than what is taken in. With table games, the house does have to sweat the short run—the occasional high roller on a hot streak—to get to its inevitable long-run payoff. Historically, there has actually been one pathway to reversing Vegas odds—blackjack card counting. Some select people profited by knowing when a deck favored them. They were able to change their betting units and playing strategy according to the deck’s composition. This one-timeonly anomaly could have only originated in the precomputer era, and the only reason the casinos haven’t completely closed the loophole is because of the number of noncounter cash cows who might stop playing if the game were changed.

Our biggest problems are going to come out of the trades with which we’re the most comfortable, complacent, and confident. You see example after example of markets completely flying in the face of apparent conventional wisdom or common sense. This is being written just after the summer of 2005, and people living anywhere near the Chicago commodity exchanges might have sworn that they had just witnessed the biggest drought in at least a quarter century. ) The soybean market obviously disagreed. 73 1/4— the same general level it was at in the previous mid-February timeframe.

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Beating the Financial Futures Market: Combining Small Biases into Powerful Money Making Strategies by Art Collins

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